- A.7
Developmental Activities (Current and Planned)
-
This is (a
small part of) our current “To Do” List:
-
-
Mutual Fund
Report (MUTFUNDS): (1) Implement better signal algorithms for funds
that short: Gold, Oil, Real Estate, and specific geographical
regions (e.g., Japan, Korea), (2) Improve accuracy of ETF
Decompositions, (3) Add more funds and fund families, (4) Consider
using our Short-Term (Grail System) signals to assign a mutual fund
Score, rather than the Intermediate-Term (STAR System) signals.
Portfolios: (1)
Develop a portfolio tracking and comparison program that will
accurately compare the performance of the 6 10-stock portfolios
currently available (L/10, P10H, P10N, P10C, P10E, P10U, VARPORTD).
This will permit an evaluation of the relative performance of each of
these 3 categories of portfolio (Preprocessor-based, Grail
System-based (S/T), Intermediate-Term-based (I/T)), (2) Develop a
'shorting strategy' that can be used to provide additional gains when
the non-shorting PORTSTAT portfolios (Classes “N”, “C”,
“E” and “U”) are largely in cash.
Grail System:
(1) Develop a program which will back-extrapolate price/volume data
for a stock in such a way that recently-introduced stocks can be
accurately modeled. Our current methods for generating Grail System
models currently require data going back until at least 8/16/02. This
would allow, for example, the ability to model the Emerging Markets
ETF, EEM. (3) Finalize the 'differential' signals (and their new
Report) to try to compare the anticipated relative performance of
various pairs of indices represented by ETFS, e.g., QQQQ vs. SPY,
QQQQ vs. IWM, QQQQ vs. DIA, etc.
Documentation:
Continue weekly updates to both Tutorials (Part1 and Part2).
- A.8 Report
Availability
-
Remember that
our Reports are generally available by 100am CST, although sometimes
later, but should always be available well in advance of the Market
opening. If you have not received the Forecast by email prior to the
market Open, then please double-click on the link
http://www.schulenberg.com/download/LATEST.ZIP
(or use the button in the
upper left hand corner of our website) to download
the latest available file and unzip it; Windows should automatically
take care of this, and if you select the Extract All option then you
should only have to supply the password one time. Then, read the
file named 'forecast.htm'. *** Make sure that this file is dated for
the upcoming market day; if not, then it means that for one reason
or another the report has been delayed and you should try again
later. The file 'forecast.htm' contains the same text (this
document) that would normally be supplied in the evening’s
email. You can also click on the link
http://www.schulenberg.com/download/
to see if the new report file has been uploaded (hit REFRESH
occasionally to monitor the status of our download area).
-
-
*** Bear in
mind that we can send your email to two or more email accounts. If
you wish to be sure of always getting your notifications, then you
might want to consider taking out a free email account with Hotmail,
MSN, Google's Gmail, etc. Just let us know what your alternate email
address is. Note: We have had problems with Yahoo email servers in
the past since they will reject an entire mailing if there are too
many Yahoo email accounts in the distribution list. Therefore, we do
not at this time recommend using Yahoo as your alternate email
address.
-
-
A.9 ZIP
File Downloads (Report Archives) and Passwords
-
The complete
Strategist Newsletter Report packet (Reports 1-10, including this
document) is available late each evening (or in the very early
morning) on our website:
http://www.schulenberg.com/download/LATEST.ZIP
*** Note that it
is important to verify that the LATEST file truly is the 'latest'.
When you receive the evening email (this document), then you can be
certain that it is the latest report archive – the one for the
next market day. Still, it is always advisable to verify this by
checking the report dates within the archive (e.g., the 'data' date
in the PORTSTAT, SIGNALS, or 'forecast.htm' file. If you are
monitoring the download area on our website (via the link
http://www.schulenberg.com/download/)
then you can also be certain that the proper file has been uploaded
by looking at the creation date on the LATEST.ZIP file – or by
verifying that the correct 'dated' file has been uploaded (the one
with the format SSMMDDYY.ZIP).
In addition to
the 'LATEST' file, all of the recent report archives are contained in
'dated' ZIP (compressed) files using the naming convention
SSmmddyy.ZIP where mmddyy is the most recent market date. In other
words, the Zip file named SS011707.ZIP contains the reports based on
the closing data for 1/17/07, and is thus intended to provide
guidance for the following market day (1/18/07). If you use Windows
XP then you already have the necessary support to unpack such ZIP
files; if not, you can download a free copy of an unzipping tool like
WinZip from http://www.download.com/.
Remember that Windows provides an easy way to extract ALL reports in
a single operation (with the need to specify the password just once)
-- just look for the ‘Extract All’ option.
At least 3
days worth of ZIP files will be maintained on the website, and you
may download them any time you wish.
All Strategist
zip files (the ones starting with the letters ‘SS’) are
password protected, and passwords are generally valid for a period of
one month. You will be given the current password when you become a
subscriber, or if you have been started on a 30-day Free Trial.
There are also
several days worth of “Free” report archives. These are
time-lagged by 3 market days, and have names like FFmmddyy.zip, where
the initial ‘FF’ signifies that the files are “free”
– and thus not password protected. If you are NOT a current
subscriber you can nonetheless look at these files to keep track of
new developments.
The Newsletter
ARCHIVE files (.zip) will always be available on the website before
7am EST each trading day morning. Usually the reports will be ready
by 1am CST, but this is not always possible. Although the reports for
Monday "could" be generated earlier, it's best to let the
data optimize over the weekend and so, in general, we will upload the
reports for Monday late on Sunday evening.
You can always
use the link http://www.schulenberg.com/download/
to see a list of all available downloads ... and thus be in a
position to know when a new report archive has been uploaded.
A.10
Problems and Resolutions
- In this Section we
summarize recent discussions of problems, fixes, and workarounds:
-
(1) Problems
with Expanding the Downloaded Report Archives: We have
received a recent update from a subscriber who had been having
problems expanding the daily report archive (LATEST.ZIP). In this
case the problem was due to his use of an “anonymizer”
add-on for his Browser. If you are doing 'anonymous' browsing using
such a product (Anonymizer, Ghost Surf, etc.), and you are having
problems with unzipping the download file, then retry the download
with the anonymizer turned off. Our earlier suggestion to 'reboot'
is also valid; this has been the source for some similar problems in
the past.
-
-
(2) We still find
occasionally that some subscribers fail to
receive our Forecast emails, and there is rarely an
explanation for this. However, please remember that these emails are
NOT ESSENTIAL; the daily report archive file contains the full text
of the email in a file named 'forecast.htm'. The main purpose of the
email is to make it clear when the report archive is available for
the next day's market. If you DO NOT receive the email, then simply
follow these steps:
-
Step 1: Click on the
standard link http://www.schulenberg.com/download
-
Step 2: Set this URL
(website) as a Favorite in your browser
-
Step 3: Monitor the list of
files (hit Refresh occasionally) in order to watch for the
appearance of the proper 'dated' Ssmmddyy.ZIP report archive. The
date should be the same as the market day that has just ended.
-
Step 4: Alternatively,
watch for the file LATEST.ZIP to get updated; it should have a date
and time that is well 'after' the previous day's market close since
we are rarely able to get the reports out before midnight Houston
time.
-
Step 5: Double-click on the
correct file to download it; enter the current password to get its
contents expanded (specify the 'Extract All' option), and then
examine the forecast.htm file to ensure
that it is dated for the next market day. If so, you are all set.